Eileen Laubacher’s lead over Rep. Lauren Boebert in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District has grown to roughly 5,000 votes after small midday updates from Arapahoe and Adams counties.
Arapahoe added 462 votes and Laubacher’s margin there ticked up to 26 points. Adams added 51 votes, favoring Boebert by 26. Net effect: about 105 votes to Laubacher, pushing her lead from 4,894 at the 4:02 a.m. posting to about 5,000.
Douglas, Larimer and Weld, the three largest counties with ballots still out, have not posted since early this morning. Larimer has said to expect its next update by 5 p.m. Mountain.
The remaining universe is now an estimated 21,500 ballots, down from about 22,600. Roughly 14,000 of them are in Larimer, Arapahoe and Douglas, all counties Laubacher is carrying. Boebert’s strongest counties on the Eastern Plains are at or above 95% reported.
Running the remaining ballots at current county margins nets Laubacher another 700 or so. Projected final: Laubacher by about 5,700, or 1.6 points. The automatic recount line is about 840 votes.
To overtake a 5,000-vote deficit with 21,500 ballots left, Boebert would need about 62% of what remains. She has won 47.7% of the vote counted so far.
The ballot cure and military-overseas window closes November 12. The Associated Press has not called the race.
About the Author
David B. Wheeler is the president and co-founder of American Muckrakers, the Western North Carolina accountability organization best known for helping end Madison Cawthorn’s congressional career in 2022, the rare instance in modern politics of a sitting incumbent losing his own primary because somebody bothered to do the homework. Since then, American Muckrakers has turned its attention to Lauren Boebert, Ken Paxton, and a growing roster of politicians who confuse public office with a personal ATM. He publishes accountability journalism at Muckrakers.Today.
Wheeler co-hosts the MUCK YOU! podcast with Col. Moe Davis, the retired Air Force colonel and former chief prosecutor at Guantanamo Bay. He is the author of Color the Crooks, Case File #001: Lauren Boebert, the coloring book James Carville endorsed with the words “She earned every damn page. Buy it.” *He is also the founder of VoteROI.com, a political data company built on 86.9 million FEC records that helps donors figure out where their money actually goes, which, as this essay makes clear, is a question more people should be asking.
Before all that, Wheeler spent three decades in politics, elections, and event production in more than 50 countries on all seven continents. Along the way he lowered the Mississippi River, produced the first professional sports event ever held in Moscow, and produced the first marathon ever run on Antarctica. His political education started early: Page for the Iowa House of Representatives, intern in the United States Senate, and National Committeeman for Iowa on the Young Democrats of America national committee. David was the lead advance guy for then Senator Obama in Iowa City, Iowa, in October of 2006, and then again during his presidential announcement in Waterloo, Iowa, in February 2007. And, he has some good stories from both experiences.
An Iowa native and proud Hawkeye, Wheeler is a father of three and lives in the mountains of Western North Carolina, in the district Chuck Edwards is currently failing. He believes sunlight is the best disinfectant, filings don’t lie, and the loudest guy in the room is usually the one with the most to hide.
And, Beetlejuice Boebert claimed she was going to sue him. She never did, so David sued her in Federal Court in Denver and partially won.
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Fingers crossed!
Super happy to hear this! Hopefully it will be official real soon!